财富精英励志演讲28：巴菲特:决定你成功的因素(4)

 　　Well, that’s a short little sermon.

　　上面我简单地我说了一下我的看法。
　　So Let's get on with what you’re interested in.
　　下面就让我们开始谈谈你们所感兴趣的。
　　And like I say, in go all over.
　　就像我之前说的那样。
　　So, I don’t know exactly how we gotta have this, but let's start with a hand here someplace or other.
　　我不知道接下来怎样进行，那我们从举手示意的同学开始提问题吧。
　　There we go, for the first one...yeah, right here.
　　第一个问题，那个同学。
　　Q： Your thoughts about Japan?
　　问题：您对日本的看法？
　　W: My thoughts about Japan? I am not a macro guy.
　　巴菲特：我对日本的看法？我不是一个太宏观的人。
　　Now I said to myself Berkshire Hathaway can borrow money for 10 years at one percent.
　　我所在的伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司在日本10年期的贷款利息只有1％。
　　I say gee 1, I took Graham’s class 45 years ago and I have been working hard at this thing all my life.
　　我对自己说，45年前，我上了本杰明.格拉姆的课程，然后我就一直勤勤恳恳，努力工作，
　　Maybe I can earn more than 1% annually 2. I really work hard at it.
　　也许我应该比1％挣的多点吧？
　　One percent. It doesn’t seem impossible, doesn’t it?
　　看上去那不是不可能的。
　　So I wouldn’t want to get involved in currency risk, so it would have to be Yen-denominated.
　　我不想卷入任何汇率波动的风险，所以我会选择以日元为基准的资产。
　　I would have to be in Japanese Real Estate or Japanese companies or something of the sort and all I have to do is to beat 1%.
　　如地产或企业，必须是日本国内的。我唯一需要做的就是挣得比1％多，
　　That is all the money is going to cost me and I can get it for 10 years.
　　因为那是我资金的成本，十年内我要收回来的。
　　So far I haven’t found anything. It is kind of interesting.
　　可直到现在，我还没有发现一家可以投资的生意。这真的很有趣。
　　The Japanese companies earn very low returns on equity 3,
　　日本企业的资产回报率都很低。
　　and they have a bunch of businesses that earn 4%, 5%, 6% on equity
　　他们有少数企业会有4％，5％，或6％的回报。
　　and it is very hard to earn a lot as an investor 4 when the business you are in doesn’t earn very much money.
　　如果日本企业本身赚不了多少钱的话，那么其资产投资者是很难获得好的回报的。
　　Now some people do it in fact.
　　当然，有一些人也赚了钱。
　　I've got a friend, Walter Schloss, who worked at Graham at the same time I did.
　　我有一个和我同期为本杰明.格拉姆工作过的朋友，他叫沃尔特·施洛斯。
　　And it was the first way I went to stocks to buy stocks selling way below working capital. A very cheap, quantitative 5 stocks.
　　那是我第一次运用买股票的方法，即寻找那些股票价格远低于流动资本的公司，非常便宜但股票数量有限的公司。
　　I call it the “cigar butt 6” approach to investing.
　　我管那方法叫雪茄烟蒂投资法。
　　You walk down the street, you look around for a cigar butt someplace.
　　你满地找雪茄烟蒂，
　　And you finally see one and it is soggy and kind of repulsive 7, but there is one puff 8 left in it .
　　终于你找到一个湿透了的，令人讨厌的烟蒂，看上去还能抽上一口。
　　So you pick it up and the puff is free.
　　那一口可是免费的。
　　I mean it is a cigar butt stock. I mean you get one free puff on it and then you throw it away and walk down the street and try another one.
　　你把它捡起来，抽上最后一口，然后扔了，接着找下一个。
　　I mean it is not elegant, but it works.
　　这听上去一点都不优雅，但是很有效。
　　If you are looking for a free puff,it works.
　　如果你找的是一口免费的雪茄烟，这方法还值得做。
　　Those are low return businesses.
　　不要做低回报率的生意。