国外媒体:2009年度中国经济增速减缓

际货币基金组织（IMF）发表的最新一期《世界经济展望》报告预测，世界经济今年将收缩1.3%，为第二次世界大战以来最严重的经济衰退。明年世界经济将逐步复苏，但仅有望增长1.9%。此外，在中国和印度经济的带动下，亚洲发展中经济体仍将保持经济增长，今明两年的增长速度将分别达4.8%和6.1%。

《世界经济展望》报告中说，中国经济今、明两年的增长速度会有所减缓，但在恶劣的国际金融和经济环境下，中国经济的表现依然是“强劲的”。中国经济的前进动力源于两个因素：一是政府积极行动，采取了大规模的财政刺激措施并放松了货币政策，从而扩大了消费和基础设施建设投资；二是出口部门在经济中所占比例较小，特别是把高进口额计算在内之后。

报告认为，一些亚洲经济体仍有加大货币政策力度的空间，包括中国在内的经济体更多地放松货币政策似乎是适当的。同时，中国可采取进一步的财政措施刺激国内消费，这既可在短期内支持经济增长，也有助于中期内重新平衡经济。

The GDP numbers aren't great, say economists 1, but they are in line with expectations. During the first quarter this year, China's economic growth slowed to a 6. 1% compared to the same quarter last year, the slowest rate of growth since 1992 when quarterly records began.

"The real economy has taken a hit far more serious than expected. Developing countries are experiencing deepening recession. And the growth rate of developing countries is slowing down. It was therefore not an easy achievement. "

There is now optimism that China's economy has hit a low point and has stabilized 2. With the government's 600 billion US dollar stimulus 3 package having an impact, consumer spending is up, auto 4 sales have hit a record high, there's been a surge in bank lending, and the stock market is up for the year. There is now a building expectation of stronger growth later in the year, but analysts 5 warn any recovery remains 6 fragile.

"The Chinese problem now is really a sort of international problem, right? So, the dropping GDP is primarily driven by the dropping export. "

Exports are down almost 20% compared to the same time last year. And most experts agree, unless there's a substantial improvement in the global economy in coming months, government spending alone in China will not be enough to sustain any potential rebound 7 into next year.

1.expectation    

n. 期待,期望
v. 期待,前程

例句与用法:
She ate a light lunch in expectation of a good dinner. 
她午饭吃得很少，期待晚饭时饱餐一顿。
He has great expectations from his uncle. 
他渴望从叔叔那继承大笔遗产。

2.recession    

n. 后退,凹入的地方,不景气

例句与用法:
There is no sign that the recession has bottomed out yet. 
没有迹象表明萧条已经到了极点.
Share prices were buoyed 8 up by hopes of an end to the recession. 
因经济衰退状况终止有望，股票价格得以保持高位。

3.surge     

n. 巨涌,汹涌,澎湃
v. 汹涌,澎湃

例句与用法:
A surge of innovation in techniques is on the horizon. 
技术改进的浪潮即将出现。
The crowd surged past him. 
人们从他身边涌过。

4.fragile     

adj. 易碎的,脆的

例句与用法:
Fragile handle with care. 
易碎品--小心轻放.
Glasses are fragile and must be handled with great care. 
玻璃制品易碎, 必须小心轻放。

5.rebound     

v. 弹回
vi.&n. 弹回,跳回

例句与用法:
The ball rebounded 9 from/off the wall into the pond. 
球从墙上弹回来掉进池里.
The scheme rebounded on her in a way she had not expected. 
她未曾想到这计谋反倒使她自食其果.
She quarrelled with Paul and then married Peter on the rebound. 
她和保罗争吵後愤而嫁给了彼得.