US, South Korea Seem to Scale Back War Games

The U.S. and South Korea on Monday began 10 days of large-scale joint 1 military exercises, but with a reduced number of troops and assets than had participated last year.

Military leaders stress these defensive 2 drills are needed to maintain operational readiness, but there are concerns that a show of force could again aggravate 3 tensions in the region, after the U.S. and North Korea recently came to the brink 4 of conflict over a possible missile test targeting the Guam region.

War games

The Ulchi Freedom Guardian 5 exercises that occur every summer are a massive military planning and coordination 6 operation about how to respond to computer-simulated North Korean attack scenarios 7. Some 17,500 American troops will participate, down from 25,000 last year along with 50,000 South Koreans. 

These annual war games, in addition to the combined ground, air, naval 8 field exercise that occur in the Spring, are needed, say military leaders, to train the constant influx 9 of new soldiers being deployed 10 in the field.

“What we are talking about here is warfare 11. It’s not practicing for a parade, so you have to constantly be updated,” said military analyst 12 Grant Newsham with the Japan Forum 13 For Strategic Studies in Tokyo.

De-escalation

But this year’s exercises come just as North Korean leader Kim Jong Un actually de-escalated tensions by putting put on hold a plan to fire intermediate range ballistic missiles toward waters near the U.S. territory of Guam. 

The move averted 14 a possible conflict after U.S. President Donald Trump 15 warned that the U.S. military was “locked and loaded” and would respond to any attack with “fire and fury.” 

Some political analysts 16 suggest Washington seems to have responded to Pyongyang’s recent restraint by downsizing this year’s exercises, sending less personnel, and holding back nuclear capable bombers 17 and other strategic assets.

“One way to send a reconciliatory gesture to North Korea is that we are not going to bring any strategic assets like B-1s, F-35s or nuclear powered submarines,” said political analyst Choi Kang with the Asan Institute in Seoul.

Fuel to the fire

However, on Sunday Defense 18 Secretary Jim Mattis denied that North Korea’s objections factored into the reduced number of troops and assets in this year’s war games.

"No, no, this is an exercise for the defense of Korea. It's a combined exercise and it's all worked out way in advance by the alliance officers.” said Defense Secretary Mattis.

North Korea said Sunday that the military exercises “add fuel to the fire” increasing the likelihood that Pyongyang will conduct further missile and nuclear tests in the future.

North Korea has long objected to the U.S., South Korea joint military exercises that they have called “rehearsals for invasion.” Last year’s war games included planning military strikes to kill the leadership in Pyongyang. 

“The word that came out last year was decapitation because we were being threatened by North Korea having done nuclear tests and missiles, so we took those two events very seriously,” said the Asan Institute’s Choi. 

South Korean President Moon Jae-in said Monday the joint drills are defensive in nature and not intended to raise tensions on the peninsula. He also cautioned North Korea to “not exaggerate our efforts to keep peace” nor to use the exercises as an excuse to engage in provocations 19.

China and Russia have also called for the suspension of the joint military drills along with a freeze on North Korean missile and nuclear tests.