2006年VOA标准英语-Peruvian Populist Leads Presidential Opini

By Michael Bowman
Lima
06 April 2006

In Peru, a left-leaning populist firebrand has surged to the top of public opinion polls before Sunday's presidential vote. In the first of a two-part series from Lima, VOA's Michael Bowman examines the candidacy of Ollanta Humala, a man who has drawn 1 comparisons to Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez.

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To the sound of Andean folk music, Ollanta Humala took to a dazzlingly glitzy stage in downtown Lima. Thousands of near-delirious supporters roared.

Ollanta Humala greets supporters during a rally for his presidential campaign in Puerto Maldonado   
  

Sporting his trademark 2 red T-shirt and jeans, Humala paced back and forth 3, punctuating 4 an ear-splitting oratory 5 with broad hand gestures.

"We need a new foundation for the republic, to build a new society: an egalitarian society where everyone is equal under the law," he said, "and where the law does not favor the rich over the poor; a new society based on solidarity 6 and dignity. Because, quite simply, in Peru we have a dictatorship of economic powers allied 7 with trans-national interests."

Humala pledged to terminate tax breaks designed to draw foreign investment, and to wage an all-out battle against corruption 8. He said politicians have failed the country, and the time has come for change.

"The only ones who should fear change are those who are benefiting economically from the catastrophic situation in which Peru finds itself," he said. "They fear change, the people do not."

Most polls project pro-business candidate Lourdes Flores as the likely second-place finisher in Sunday's vote. A Flores spokesman, Luis Felipe Arizmendi, notes that Peru has logged solid economic growth for four consecutive 9 years. He admits the country's poor have yet to feel the benefits of an expanding economy, but says Humala's plan is the wrong solution.

"Economic conditions have improved, with greater foreign and domestic investment," he said. "So, radically 11 changing the economic and political model could bring irreversible and very dangerous results."

Yet, drastic change is precisely 12 what Lima slum-dweller Roberto Contreras says he wants.

"I would like the person we elect to change the direction of the country, which is going from bad to worse, so that the poor do not become poorer and there is more justice for everyone. A radical 10 change," he said.

Asked what kind of leader he wants, Contreras says, "authoritarian 13."

Peruvian public-opinion pollster Alfredo Torres says Contreras is not alone in stressing results over the democratic process, a trend that has boosted Ollanta Humala's standings in the polls.

"Humala, as a former military man, is perceived as authoritarian, and there is a segment of the population that wants a president, who exercises more authority," he said. "Behind all of this is a great mistrust of the political class, a feeling that congress does not represent the people. This creates a desire for a strongman who will defend the poor."

But Lima engineering student Carlos Gonzalez says he wants nothing of Humala's populist platform.

"I am concerned about employment and preserving the free market, not interfering 14 with it," he said.

Ollanta Humala  
  
Allegations have surfaced of human rights abuses committed by Humala as an officer during Peru's bloody 15 battle against leftist Shining Path guerrillas. Humala has denied the charges and accused political opponents of smear 16 tactics. He professes 17 admiration 18 for Venezuela's Hugo Chavez, but describes himself as a "populist democrat," not a socialist 19. Nevertheless, Peru's stock market plunged 20 recently, when polls showed him pulling ahead of center-right candidate Lourdes Flores.

In a field of some 20 presidential candidates, it appears unlikely that anyone will secure more than 50 percent of the vote needed to avoid a run-off contest. Some political analysts 21 are predicting, in a second round of balloting 22, many smaller parties would band together in opposition 23 to the fiery 24 Humala.