肯尼亚经济增长取决于非洲增长与机遇法案再延长

肯尼亚经济增长取决于非洲增长与机遇法案再延长

The sound of this industrial sewing machine fills the air at the United Aryan Limited textiles factory on the outskirts 1 of Nairobi,workers here are busy trying to make production deadlines.

内罗毕郊外联合雅利安有限公司纺织工厂内工业缝纫机发出的声音不绝于耳,这里的工人们正紧张忙碌以赶上最后期限。

Established 13 years ago, the company employs approximately 10,000 people, earning an average income of 150 a month.

成立于13年前的这家公司有大约10000名雇员,每名工人月平均收入为150美元。

Most of its business is in exports. Each month, it sends goods worth 100 million to clients in the U.S.

公司大部分为出口业务。每个月有价值1亿美元的货物送到美国客户手中。

United Aryan has benefited from the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), a U.S. trade program that provides duty-free import of certain products from sub-Saharan Africa.

雅利安已经从《非洲增长与机遇法案》(AGOA)中受益,这一美国贸易项目旨在为进口来自撒哈拉以南非洲的某些产品提供免税。

But that all may change in September, when the program is set to expire.

但是当该法案在9月到期时一切可能都会发生改变。

Pankaj Bedi, the founder 2 and chairman of United Aryan Limited, said his company would face serious consequences if AGOA is not renewed.

公司创始人兼董事长的潘卡吉·贝蒂表示如果《非洲增长与机遇法案》不进行延长他的公司再次将面临严重后果。

“It will be disaster. We all have been lobbying, pushing doing whatever we can. In fact government is very proactive, even the Kenyan government has been, you know, following through. If it is not there then we are not there. Simple. We'll lose all the jobs; there will be social, security all kind of disaster happening.”

“这将是一场灾难。我们一直都在进行游说,竭尽自己所能。事实上政府态度非常积极,甚至是肯尼亚政府也在进行努力。如果事与愿违我们将面临灭顶之灾。道理谁都明白。我们将失去所有工作,社会，安全等各种灾难都会发生。”

According to the Bloomberg survey of 57 countries, Kenya's projected 6 percent growth rate this year would see it join China, India, Philippines and Indonesia as the only economies enjoying 5 percent growth or higher.

据彭博社对于57个国家的调查显示肯尼亚今年6%的预期增长率将成为中国、印度、菲律宾和印度尼西亚那样唯一经济增长5%或更高的国家。

However, unemployment in Kenya remains 3 high, and 40 percent of Kenyans live below the poverty line. Losing the trade agreement could make the situation worse.

然而肯尼亚的失业率仍居高不下, 40%的肯尼亚人生活在贫困线以下。与贸易协议的失之交臂可能会使这种情况变得更糟。

Financial analyst 4 Aly Khan Satchu said AGOA adds jobs and revenues to Kenya's economy.

金融分析师阿里·科汉表示《非洲增长与机遇法案》为肯尼亚的经济增加就业机会并提高收入。

“There's been an explosion in what you call the EPZ, Export Processing Zones, where the government has assisted companies who are predominantly exporting textiles.It's been pretty major and has had a dynamic, positive economic impact in Kenya.”

“在所谓的EPZ,即出口加工区一直是一番忙碌景象,政府也助力主要是出口纺织品的公司。这一点至关重要, 对肯尼亚的经济产生主观，积极的影响。”

In the past, Kenya has struggled to attain 5 strong economic growth due to political unrest, periodic droughts and attacks blamed on terrorists. The business community believes fast growth can continue if AGOA continues as well.

在过去,肯尼亚由于政治动荡，周期性干旱和恐怖分子袭击问题一直难以实现强劲的经济增长。商界认为如果《非洲增长与机遇法案》能够延长其快速增长也会一如既往能够持续下去。